Christmas flurries removed from the forecast

GFS computer model for Christmas Eve showing upper-level flow (top) and mid-level moisture (bottom).

Bad news for those of us hoping for a few snowflakes as Santa flies into town…

We are now seeing consistent signals of a dry — but still cold — Christmas Eve in Central Texas.

The reason for the change is that instead of a large upper-level disturbance approaching Texas from the west following the Arctic front, all reliable computer models are now pointing to a flat “zonal” flow with dry air through all levels of the atmosphere.

If things change, we will let you know in the First Warning Weather center! provides commenting to allow for constructive discussion on the stories we cover. In order to comment here, you acknowledge you have read and agreed to our Terms of Service. Users who violate these terms, including use of vulgar language or racial slurs, will be banned. If you see an inappropriate comment, please flag it for our moderators to review.

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