Christmas flurries removed from the forecast

GFS computer model for Christmas Eve showing upper-level flow (top) and mid-level moisture (bottom).

Bad news for those of us hoping for a few snowflakes as Santa flies into town…

We are now seeing consistent signals of a dry — but still cold — Christmas Eve in Central Texas.

The reason for the change is that instead of a large upper-level disturbance approaching Texas from the west following the Arctic front, all reliable computer models are now pointing to a flat “zonal” flow with dry air through all levels of the atmosphere.

If things change, we will let you know in the First Warning Weather center!

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