Christmas snow flurries possible in Central Texas

Our second round of snow early this winter season appears possible sometime between Christmas Eve and the day after Christmas.

While details are impossible to pin down this far in advance, reliable computer models are consistently indicating that temperatures may dip below freezing with a chance of precipitation in the forecast.

Right now, we are more confident in our temperature forecast than our precipitation forecast. This means that it will likely be cold, but we’re still unsure if anything falls from the sky. It’s important that you check back with us for frequent updates.

Here’s what we’re watching…

  1. A pair of back-to-back Arctic cold fronts are expected to move into Central Texas Friday night and Saturday night. This could lead to the coldest weather so far this season Christmas Eve and Day. Note: there is only moderate confidence in frontal timing as of this writing
  2. An upper-level storm system may position itself to the west of Texas during this time frame, potentially producing a chance of rain/snow across the state. Note: there is low confidence in whether or not precipitation falls due to vast disagreement among computer models
Forecast cold front position on Saturday night (GFS model)
Forecast temperatures on Christmas Day (European model)
Christmas Day precipitation forecast, showing rain in our area (European model)
 Dec. 26 precipitation forecast, showing light snow in our area (European model)
Christmas Eve precipitation forecast, showing snow falling to our north (GFS model)
Christmas Day precipitation forecast, showing precipitation falling apart before snow reaches us (GFS model)

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