AUSTIN (KXAN) — Sunday brings another round of sunshine and triple digit heat across the area. While no heat advisories are in place for Central Texas, areas along and east of I-35 could still feel as hot as 102-111 today. Make sure to take breaks in the shade, keep plenty of fresh water on hand, and reapply sunscreen every two hours if spending time outdoors.
There are a few changes we can look forward to this week. The best rain chances in about two months are coming to Central Texas starting Monday as the first of two weak disturbances moves in from the Gulf. High temperatures will also drop a few degrees. In fact, temps could drop to the mid-90s for the first time all July by Tuesday afternoon.
Monday and Tuesday will be Austin’s best chances of rain, with smaller chances on Wednesday and Thursday. It’s possible that 1-2 needed inches of rain could fall over the next few days, heavy at times. There is not a large potential for severe weather this week, but high winds will be the largest threat with developing storms: they could gust up to 30 mph. Though rain chances are likely to exit by Thursday, a small opportunity for a single sea breeze shower is possible east of I-35 into next weekend.
Any respite from the heat and dry weather is going to be brief: the 8-14 day outlooks call for drier and hotter than normal weather into the first week of August.
While it’s only a small fraction of the state, drought conditions have officially returned to parts of Texas for the first time since the spring flooding. In Thursday’s official U.S. Drought Monitor report, moderate drought conditions were declared in a few isolated locations in various parts of the state, including parts of the Rio Grande Plains between Del Rio and Laredo. In the KXAN viewing area, abnormally dry conditions returned to Mason, eastern Williamson and Milam counties. Drought conditions are forecast to return to parts of Central Texas over the next 1-2 weeks.
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Our El Niño pattern has officially dissipated. It lasted for 15 months. Learn more here.
The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting the potential for above-average rainfall in half of Central Texas during the August-September-October months as we enter a neutral period (neither El Niño, nor La Niña). Temperatures will also likely be above average during this time.
A rapid shift to La Niña conditions are possible by late summer and early fall. La Niña conditions would bring drier conditions to Central Texas beginning this fall and lasting through the winter.