AUSTIN (KXAN) — We are tracking two disturbances moving toward Central Texas that are expected to bring a good shot of scattered thunderstorms during the beginning of your work week.
There will be enough moisture in the atmosphere Monday and Tuesday for these slow-moving storms to produce pockets of heavy rainfall. While many areas will receive less than one inch of rain, 1-3″ are possible in isolated pockets. That would be more rain than many of us have seen in the past two months. High temperatures may be cooler than average Tuesday and Wednesday for the first time in nearly two months.
Healthy rain chances are a welcome sight, as drought conditions have officially returned to parts of Texas for the first time since the spring flooding. In the most recent U.S. Drought Monitor report, moderate drought conditions were declared in a few locations south of our area. In the KXAN viewing area, abnormally dry conditions returned to Mason, eastern Williamson and Milam counties.
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Our El Niño pattern has officially dissipated. It lasted for 15 months. Learn more here.
The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting the potential for above-average rainfall in half of Central Texas during the August-September-October months as we enter a neutral period (neither El Niño, nor La Niña). Temperatures will also likely be above average during this time.
A rapid shift to La Niña conditions are possible by late summer and early fall. La Niña conditions would bring drier conditions to Central Texas beginning this fall and lasting through the winter.